Archive for the ‘Mortgages’ Category:

Shifting Signs

Written on April 30th, 2009 by admin18 shouts

There has been a blow to those who claimed to see the ‘green shoots of recovery’ in the housing market. Mortgage lending by the UK’s major banks fell for the first time in four months in March.

The number of mortgages approved for house purchases fell to 26,097 in March, down 6.8% from February and 25% lower than a year earlier.

The British Bankers’ Association, which produced the figures, said it expected fluctuations during a recession. Similarly, savers were reluctant to make more deposits with interest rates so low.

All measures of mortgage lending were slightly weaker in March than in February, with the £8.9bn of gross mortgage lending at its lowest level since April 2001. This was also down 47% on March 2008.

At the moment, consumer confidence is extremely fragile and unlikely to change demand markedly in the near-term. The banks’ figures also show it would be unrealistic to expect the mortgage market to recover steadily in the current economic environment.

However, the general trend is still upwards, and banks are continuing to lend. But there will be monthly fluctuations in housing market statistics given the economic climate.

The simple fact is that people are reluctant to buy a home with property prices still falling and unemployment rising.

Some recent figures and surveys have been read as positive signs for the market. However, many analysts suggest that the mortgage market may have reached the bottom and is now likely to stay there for a while.

Falling house prices and the demand for high deposits from first-time buyers mean that activity is low.

Many existing borrowers are also taking advantage of low interest rates and are reverting to the standard variable rate (SVR) when their fixed-rate term comes to an end, rather than remortgaging.

Despite this gloom, mortgage brokers are suggesting that this is still a good time to study the market. The time is ripe for people to start looking for property again to take advantage of low house prices and mortgage rates.

It remains true, however, that unless you have a substantial deposit this is still very difficult.

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All About Interest Rates

Written on April 15th, 2009 by admin3 shouts

Interest rates indicate the price at which you can borrow money. It can get seriously complicated, with many anomalies, so for starters I’m going to simply explain the basics, then step it up a notch. If it gets too much, just stop – understanding the basics alone is the most important thing.

The interest rate you pay to borrow

If you borrow money at a 5% interest rate for a year, it will cost you 5% of the amount borrowed to do so; this will need to be repaid along with the original money you borrowed. Interest rates are usually quoted annually, but not always, so do check.

An Example to Clarify

How much does it cost to borrow £1,000 at 10% then repay it six months later?

Let’s start with a simple sum, one year at 10% would cost you £100 (ten percent of £1,000). Therefore over six months you’d pay about a half of that, in other words £50. It really is almost as simple as that.

The reason I say ‘almost’ is that it isn’t exactly half of that, due to compound interest. However, this is a good rough rule-of-thumb way to think about it.

The interest rate when you’re saving or in-credit

This works in exactly the same way, and there’s a simple reason why. When you are in-credit or saving with a bank, you are effectively lending it your money to do with as it pleases until you want it back.

Therefore the savings rate is what the bank pays you for borrowing your money.

An example with savings

How much will you make by saving £1,000 at 5% for nine months?

Another simple sum to start, if you saved this for a year you’d earn £50 (five percent of £1,000), but as you’ve only got the money there for nine months you’d actually get around three quarters of this, which is £37.50. Again this isnt exact due to compound interest.

The thorny issue of tax and interest

Thankfully there’s no tax on borrowing money, you simply pay back what you owe and the government doesn’t get its hands on it.

Yet when you earn money from savings the interest earned counts as ‘income’, so you have to pay income tax on it. The amount you pay depends on how much you earn in total – adding up employment and savings income.

  • 10% rate Tax. The ten percent band was scrapped on salary income in 2008, but not for savings. If you earn between £6,475 and £8,915 in 2009/10 you’ll pay 10% of any savings income to the taxman.
  • Basic Rate Tax. Most people who pay the basic rate of tax (roughly those who earn between £8,915 and £43,875 in 2009/10) pay 20% of their savings income in tax, the same level as on employment income
  • Higher Rate Tax. Those who pay the higher rate of tax (roughly those who earn over £43,875 in 2009/10) pay 40% on both.
  • Non taxpayers. Those who don’t pay any income tax (roughly those whose income is under £6,475 in 2009/10) don’t pay any tax on savings. This usually includes students and children, who are taxed like anyone else, but rarely earn over the threshold.If you’re a non-taxpayer your savings will still automatically have the basic rate of tax taken off them – this can be reclaimed at the end of the year. Alternatively fill in a R85 form when it’s opened and they will be paid gross (which means before tax).

One quick tip – married partners can give each other money without any tax impact. Therefore, if one of you is on a lower tax band, putting the savings in their name should mean you pay less tax on the interest earned.

How compound interest works

This is a really important issue, it’s a core building block of everything to do with saving and borrowing. So I hope I can explain it clearly.

Suppose you had £100 in a savings account which paid 10% annual interest (if only!). After year one you’d have £100 plus £10 interest (10% of £100), a total of £110. Yet after year two, you’d earn another £10 interest (the interest on the original £100), plus a further £1 of interest earned on the £10 interest from the first year. So now you’ve a total of £121.

By year three, you’d be earning interest on the interest from year two, and interest on the interest on the interest from year one. And that’s basically what compounding is all about.

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All this means that the money grows more quickly because you don’t just earn interest on the money you originally save, you also earn interest on the interest. This makes a big difference…

The longer you save for, the greater the effect of compound interest.

Let’s say you put that money away for 20 years. If you were only earning the £10 a year, without the compounding, you’d have £300 in the bank afterwards. However because of the interest on the interest you actually have £670.

Remember this accelerates debts too!

Borrow money and as well as paying interest on the original borrowing, you pay interest on the interest accrued. Therefore…

The longer you borrow for, the quicker your debts grow.

Sadly compound interest tends to have an even bigger impact on debts than on savings, because interest rates are higher. e.g. borrow £1,000 at 10% over twenty years without making any repayments and you’d owe a massive £6,700 (without compound interest it’d be £3,000).

Rough compound interest calculation rule of thumb for maths nerds

Divide 72 by the annual interest rate and that’s approximately how long it takes debts to double, e.g. 72 divided by 9% equals 8 years. This starts to get less accurate for rates over 20%.

APRs – The official rate for borrowing

Right, now we’re going to get a little bit technical. APR stands for the Annual Percentage Rate, and when it’s calculated it has to include both the cost of the borrowing and any associated fees that are automatically included. Thus it’s meant to give you the overall equivalent cost of a debt. This is from the regulator, the Financial Services Authority (FSA).

“APR stands for the Annual Percentage Rate of charge. You can use it to compare different credit and loan offers. The APR takes into account not just the interest on the loan but also other charges you have to pay, for example, any arrangement fee. All lenders have to tell you what their APR is before you sign an agreement. It will vary from lender to lender.”

The fact it includes charges means sometimes the APR can be a bit confusing. It is possible the interest rate is 14% per annum, but due to charges the APR is 17%, as the impact of the charges adds the equivalent to another 3% interest. Yet this is useful as it allows a true comparison.

Beware banks quoting monthly interest

Often if a credit card company ups the interest it charges, the letter informing you will express this in monthly terms. This makes it sound significantly smaller, yet 2% monthly interest is a whopping 27% APR.

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Problems with the APR rate

While it all sounds good so far, unfortunately there are a number of problems with APR. Here are two of the main things to watch for.

  • It only includes compulsory charges

Get a loan and most lenders will automatically include payment protection insurance in the quote. Technically this is voluntary, but you usually need to opt out (and you should do. Yet while we’re pushed to get the insurance, as it isn’t compulsory, its cost isn’t included in the APR.

Therefore some lenders deliberately load the cost of the insurance policies and make the loan rate cheaper. This means that with payment protection insurance a 6.7% APR loan can and often does cost more than a 8% APR loan, as the latter has much cheaper insurance.

  • It doesn’t make sense with changing rates

The APR is meant to indicate the amount you will pay each year over the full term of the debt. Yet when rates change this can make it more rather than less complicated.

Mortgages are the best example. The APR is calculated by taking the total interest cost over the 25 year term of the mortgage, plus fees and this figure must be included prominently in mortgage adverts and brochures.

Yet what does it mean practically? A mortgage could tout 6.6% APR, yet you may never be charged 6.6%; instead you get a 4.5% fixed rate for two years followed by 6.75% variable for the remainder of the term. The 6.6% is the averaged cost if you were in the unlikely situation of keeping that mortgage for the full 25 year term, not a very useful figure.

AERs – The official rate for savings

The AER or Annual Equivalent Rate is the official rate for savings accounts, and is designed to allow easy comparisons as it’s meant to smooth out the variances between accounts (it’s the equivalent of the APR for debts).

The idea is it shows what you’d get over a year if you put money in the account and left it there. The alternative is the Gross rate, which is the flat rate of interest that’s actually paid.

Frankly this next bit is about to get seriously complicated, so unless you’re finding it all crystal clear so far, I’d skip it. If you don’t read on, just remember the real lesson is ‘always compare like with like, thus AER with AER or Gross with Gross.’

Both these rates are usually quoted before tax, but there are two main areas where the difference shows:

  • Monthly or Yearly Interest.If interest is paid annually then the Gross rate and AER should be the same, as there’s no ‘interest compounding’.

Yet when interest is paid monthly, then the Gross rate given is usually around 0.1% less than the AER rate. This is because if the monthly interest were left in the account, then there would be interest on the interest too. The AER makes sure that this is included.

E.g. for an identical account, if interest is paid monthly it would be a 4.89% Gross rate, but if interest were paid annually it would be 5% Gross. Leave the money there over a year, though, and both would receive the same amount, as the AER for both is 5%.

  • Bonus Rates of Interest.

The second confusion is the impact of bonus interest rates. If a bonus is being paid for six months, then the AER (which stands for Annual Equivalent Rate remember), would be less than the Gross rate for the first six months as it would need to incorporate the period pre- and post-bonus.

However, if you’re planning to shift accounts when the bonus rate ends, then the AER is irrelevant, as you only want to know the interest rate during the bonus period. So, in this case, you should switch rates and compare Gross (and take note of whether it’s monthly or yearly interest!)

Watch out for flat interest rate loans

Well I slagged off APRs earlier, but there’s a much worse measure out there. It’s commonly used in the car loan market, but can occasionally be used for personal loans or in-store sales loans.

If the three little letters A, P and R don’t follow the rate of a personal or car loan… danger! APRs automatically mean the rate is charged on any outstanding debt. Borrow £5,000 over 5 years and by the last year you only pay interest on the amount remaining, say £1,000. At 6% APR the total interest is £800.

With a flat rate the interest is charged on the original amount borrowed, no matter what’s been repaid, so in the last year you still pay interest on the whole £5,000. With a 6% flat rate, the total interest is £1,500.

Hence 6% sounds cheap but is roughly equivalent to a costly 12% APR, so if in doubt ask “what’s the total I’ll repay including all charges?”

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Good News and Bad News

Written on April 8th, 2009 by adminone shout

There is a typically close relationship of good news and bad at the moment in the mortgage markets since lenders are still demanding high deposits from buyers even though the number of deals is expanding.

More than two-thirds of the 1,485 mortgage deals on offer require the customer to put up a deposit of at least 25%, according to Moneyfacts. This crept up slightly to 68% of home loans on 6 April compared with 66% a month earlier.

Some recent figures have suggested that the moribund housing market may have started to show some signs of life.

The number of mortgage deals on offer has increased slightly from 1,398 to 1,485 over the last month, according to financial information service Moneyfacts.

The number of mortgages available at 90% of the value of a home has dipped, down from 101 at the start of March to 93 on 6 April. Deals with a loan-to-value rate of 85% have risen, up from 237 to 258.

One market insider at
London and Country Mortgages suggested that this might be because lenders were still being cautious about their lending criteria. “The increase in deals with a 15% deposit could be due to lenders reducing the number of, or withdrawing altogether from, deals with a 10% deposit,” he said.

However, he added that some mortgage providers were offering 90% mortgages again through brokers – their primary source of custom.

Interest rates on these mortgages were not as attractive, or falling in the same way, as those with a loan-to-value of 60% or 75%.

The number of deals in this range is also growing, up from 921 at the start of March to 1,016 a month later. These figures come after a recent set of contrasting results from house price surveys. The Nationwide Building Society reported that property prices rose by 0.9% in March compared with the previous month. The following day,
Halifax, now part of the Lloyds Banking Group, said that prices fell by 1.9% during the same period.

Recent surveys from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics) have shown rising interest from prospective buyers.

There is anecdotal evidence that increasing numbers of potential buyers are “scoping out” the mortgage market to see what deals they can get before making offers on properties.

From the buyers perspective this is mostly good news. The high deposits required pose a barrier to entry to the housing market but the growing number of mortgage deal available and prices that are still low mean that for those who can produce a deposit there are many attractive opportunities. Those without a deposit will have to wait a bit longer, but their time will also come.

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Mortgage Approvals on The Rise

Written on March 30th, 2009 by admin9 shouts

There was a guarded cheerfulness in the housing market this week brought about by a modest rise in mortgage approvals by the major banks for the third month in a row.

The British Bankers’ Association (BBA) said that there were 28,179 mortgages approved for house purchases in February, up from 24,278 in January. But the figure was still 31% lower than a year earlier.

The figures come as cheaper mortgage repayments have also pushed down one measure of UK inflation.

The BBA said that the greater market share of mortgage lending by the major banks was a key reason for the growing approvals figure.

Most new mortgage lending is now done by the High Street banks, but demand is, of course, being moderated by the impacts of the recession.

The figures show that gross mortgage lending by the major banks rose to £3.9bn in February, up from £3.4bn in January and a 9.8% annual rise.

Mortgage repayments have become much cheaper for many as interest rates have fallen with the Bank of England bank rate currently standing at 0.5%.

“The increase in buyer enquiries… is now feeding through into actual transactions,” said the chief economist at the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (Rics).

BBA figures demonstrate that mortgage approvals have risen for three consecutive months. Even so, the actual level of activity still remains not that far away from historic lows and it would be premature to conclude that some semblance of order has returned to the housing market.  The BBA figures also reveal the effect of low interest rates on savers, who have seen returns on their funds dip. The figures show that consumers have responded by withdrawing savings from the major banks.

Personal deposits fell by £100m in January, the second successive monthly fall. Credit card lending rose by £0.1bn, but the annual growth rate fell to 8%. There has been a fall over the last year in the amount owed on personal loans and overdrafts as consumers pulled in their borrowing during the credit crunch.

These figures and the cheer they have provoked remind me of the famous Churchill quotation. ‘This is not the end; it is not even the beginning of the end. But it may be the end of the beginning.’

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